THINKING ABOUT OBAMA
by Sam Smith
Once again I’m in trouble and once again it has little to do with politics or ideology. I just don’t think right about Obama.
Most people of power are inherently deductive thinkers. They have learned a set of respected principles by which those of power can continue to have power by applying these principles to the facts they find around them.
These principles change from time to time, which is why we have things like the op ed pages of the Washington Post that helpfully inform us, for example, when the age of the “free market” is over and it’s okay to quote Keynes again.
Sometimes key principles have to be dispensed with in a less elegant manner, such as the “domino theory” of the Vietnam war or the “weapons of mass destruction” that took us into Iraq.
And sometimes key principles prove a bit shaky at which time it is fitting and proper to have them undergo thoughtful reexamination by approved theorists as is happening now with the “war on terror.” These theories are typically either reconfirmed or replaced with others, preferably of three or less words.
In each instance, the key element is a theory that is presumed to be true, even if lacks empirical confirmation.
For example, in the case of Barack Obama, one theory is that he will be a great president because he is our first black president. Everyone is either too polite or too enthralled by the theory to ask such simple questions as: would this be true if our first black president were Clarence Thomas?
Another theory is that he will be a great president because he is a great man, a subset of the theory that history is the purview of great men [sic], which overlooks the role of chance, culture, the environment, and lesser souls such as those who created the decline in the birth rate or the anti-slavery, women’s, labor and environmental movements.
Another theory, particular popular among the Washington elite, is that he will be a great president because he preaches centrism, even though there is no historical evidence that centrism produces anything much more than the status quo and even though, in America’s case, most profound and progressive improvements have been the result of a raucous and irrepressible left.








































